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BQ 3A News > Blog > France > Donald Trump embodies the “dictator theorem” of Nobel Prize-winning economist Kenneth Arrow
France

Donald Trump embodies the “dictator theorem” of Nobel Prize-winning economist Kenneth Arrow

March 28, 2026
Donald Trump embodies the “dictator theorem” of Nobel Prize-winning economist Kenneth Arrow
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Kenneth Arrow is an economist who used to be awarded the Financial institution of Sweden’s Alfred Nobel Memorial Prize for Financial Sciences in 1972. Throughout the impossibility theorem, or the “dictator theorem”, he underlines the impossibility of designing a super vote casting (or collective resolution) gadget that respects everybody’s personal tastes and the truthful selection of each and every person. A demonstration of American democracy within the technology of Donald Trump?

In what stays of the sector’s liberal democracies, public opinion is surprised through the spectacle of Donald Trump’s politics from the White Area and Mar-a-Lago. The president of the sector’s oldest democracy turns out to don’t have any different compass than his present personal tastes, which, it kind of feels, can best be stopped through opposing the destructive steadiness of energy.

The marvel and worry led to through this erratic politics is in large part because of admire for the democratic electoral procedure. The president is serving his 2nd mandate utterly legitimately; he didn’t succeed in the best place of work through pressure.

How are we to needless to say the citizens of one of the most richest and maximum wealthy international locations, but additionally a few of the maximum skilled on the planet, may just entrust their sovereignty to a person who as of late tramples the rules on which this sovereignty of the American other folks rests? How will have to we identify and give an explanation for the phenomenon that Donald Trump represents, which threatens many different democracies, together with Eu ones?

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A Detour thru Economics with the Dictator Theorem through Kenneth Arrow, the researcher who used to be awarded the Financial institution of Sweden’s 1972 Alfred Nobel Memorial Prize for Financial Sciences.

Intolerant democracy

To explain this phenomenon, it’s standard to consult with illiberalism, or to talk of “illiberal democracy”, a time period we owe to the American political scientist Farid Zakaria – and then Viktor Orbán and his fans, amongst whom we should rely Donald Trump, name themselves.

Whilst democracy has been related to political liberalism for greater than a century – unfastened elections, separation of powers, freedom of expression, and so on. – drawing the contours of what shall we name liberal constitutionalism, described through the thinker Bernard Manin, what moves us as of late is that democracy and liberal constitutionalism can also be prominent.

Democracy does now not ensure the virtues of political liberalism, it may be used in opposition to it through difficult the independence of the judiciary, weakening the opposition, lowering educational and press freedoms.

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Capitalism, utilitarianism and democracy

Kenneth Arrow (1921-2017) Wikimedia commons

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What’s lacking from this image is the function of the financial system. With a view to perceive the phenomenon of Donald Trump and his avatars, we should mix the utilitarian ethics that information our leaders, the capitalist financial system that chases the riches, and the democracy this is, in essentially the most restricted sense, a process for opting for political leaders.

Capitalism, utilitarianism and democracy, that is the motto of this order that used to be promoted after the 2nd Global Conflict.

Capitalism, with its marketplace financial system, promised mass prosperity that used to be pushed aside through Edmund Phelps, winner of the Financial institution of Sweden’s 2006 Alfred Nobel Prize in Financial Sciences. Utilitarianism emphasised the best happiness for the best quantity. “Actions are good or bad to the extent that they tend to increase happiness or to produce the opposite of happiness,” underlined John Stuart Mill in 1863. Democracy proposed truthful and rational regulations for settling on leaders to habits this utilitarian coverage whilst respecting the pluralism of personal tastes.

Financial and political sciences, which cut up in two right through the 20 th century (political financial system were mentioned for the reason that seventeenth century), produced discourses and theoretical fictions to advertise this social structure that emerged within the Fifties.

Dictator theorem

With the dominance of the American fashion over the “free world”, the root of the Eu supreme, economist Kenneth Arrow formulated his impossibility theorem in 1951. Utilitarian ethics, selling most well-being, can’t function the ethical basis of capitalism and the horizon of democratic politics. He warns the neighborhood of economists and political scientists concerning the illusions of the sort of guess.

Kenneth Arrow’s paradox: it’s not possible to have a collective process for score the distribution (or manufacturing) of wealth on the political degree respecting person personal tastes.

The opposite aspect of this impossibility theorem is the lifestyles theorem, sometimes called the “dictator theorem”. This kind of process is best conceivable if the dictator’s personal tastes be triumphant within the collective selection, without reference to person personal tastes. Another is this selection is imposed through enchantment to custom or unanimity round dogma (dominance, in Kenneth Arrow’s demonstration).

Imposed or dictatorial welfare

This theorem is devastating for the political-economic ambitions of which the USA has situated itself as the usual bearer within the unfastened international. To cite Kenneth Arrow, “the market mechanism cannot ensure rational choice” and “the ideology of voter sovereignty is incompatible with that of collective rationality.” He summarizes his discovery on the finish of the piece with those phrases:

“The only possible function of collective welfare is either imposed or dictatorial.”

Since 1963, Kenneth Arrow, as a substitute of talking of the serve as of collective welfare, has spoken of charter to indicate “the process of establishing a collective order or the function of choosing from individual orders.”

What we’re witnessing as of late with Trumpism is an indication and verification of Kenneth Arrow’s paradox. The democratic regulations of unfastened elections have been revered and taken Donald Trump to energy. The latter, as soon as in keep watch over, places his person personal tastes over the collective. He imposes his perspectives on immigration, world business or the surroundings, brushing aside the personal tastes of American citizens and lots of voters of the sector.

Offer protection to your self from despotism

Indisputably, some Trump citizens stay unswerving to him and could have the semblance that their non-public personal tastes are being heard. The election marketing campaign and social media have allowed the President of the USA to impose his personal tastes on his citizens, a few of whom notice that they have got been deceived. Americans are invited to depend on their non-public pursuits, to reinforce their subject matter place, out of doors of politics, and the despot can impose his alternatives that everybody should conform to.

Following the paintings of Kenneth Arrow, economists and political philosophers have deserted the elemental query he raises: Capitalism and liberal democracy can’t be connected at the foundation of utilitarian ethics, which makes the maximization of happiness the objective of all politics. This concept of ​​happiness, a brand new thought in keeping with the French modern Saint-Simply, can’t on its own combine the rational alternatives of people into the serve as of collective well-being.

In this foundation, the political horizon of extreme welfare for the best quantity can’t be the cement wherein capitalism and democracy can develop into appropriate. There’s no ethics particular to getting wealthy that may offer protection to us from despotism.

TAGGED:arrowdictatorDonaldEconomistembodiesKennethNobelPrizewinningtheoremTrump
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