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BQ 3A News > Blog > UK > China plans to construct the arena’s greatest dam – however what does this imply for India and Bangladesh downstream?
UK

China plans to construct the arena’s greatest dam – however what does this imply for India and Bangladesh downstream?

April 8, 2025
China plans to construct the arena’s greatest dam – however what does this imply for India and Bangladesh downstream?
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China not too long ago licensed the development of the arena’s greatest hydropower dam, around the Yarlung Tsangpo river in Tibet. When absolutely up and operating, it is going to be the arena’s greatest energy plant – through a long way.

But many are frightened the dam will displace native other people and motive large environmental disruption. That is in particular the case within the downstream international locations of India and Bangladesh, the place that very same river is referred to as the Brahmaputra.

The proposed dam highlights one of the crucial geopolitical problems raised through rivers that move global borders. Who owns the river itself, and who has the appropriate to make use of its water? Do international locations have tasks to not pollute shared rivers, or to stay their transport lanes open? And when a drop of rain falls on a mountain, do farmers in a distinct nation 1000’s of miles downstream have a declare to make use of it? In the end, we nonetheless don’t know sufficient about those questions of river rights and possession to settle disputes simply.

The Yarlung Tsangpo starts at the Tibetan Plateau, in a area now and again known as the arena’s 3rd pole as its glaciers comprise the biggest shops of ice out of doors of the Arctic and Antarctica. A sequence of large rivers tumble down from the plateau and unfold throughout south and south-east Asia. Smartly over 1000000000 other people rely on them, from Pakistan to Vietnam.

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But the area is already beneath immense rigidity as international warming melts glaciers and adjustments rainfall patterns. Diminished water glide within the dry season, coupled with surprising releases of water throughout monsoons, may just accentuate each water shortage and flooding, endangering hundreds of thousands in India and Bangladesh.

The development of huge dams within the Himalayas has traditionally disrupted river flows, displaced other people, destroyed fragile ecosystems and higher dangers of floods. The Yarlung Tsangpo Grand Dam shall be no exception.

The dam will sit down alongside the tectonic boundary the place the Indian and Eurasian plates converge to shape the Himalayas. This makes the area in particular at risk of earthquakes, landslides, and surprising floods when herbal dams burst.

The Yarlung Tsangpo flows via Chinese language Tibet ahead of turning south on the ‘Great Bend’, close to the place the proposed dam will probably be, ahead of becoming the Brahmaputra because it flows via India and Bangladesh.
Ready through the creator

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Downstream, the Brahmaputra is considered one of south Asia’s mightiest rivers and has been integral to human civilisation for 1000’s of years. It’s one of the vital international’s maximum sediment-rich rivers, which is helping shape an enormous and fertile delta.

But a dam of this scale would lure large quantities of sediment upstream, disrupting its glide downstream. This may make farming much less productive, threatening meals safety in one of the vital international’s maximum densely populated areas.

The Sundarbans mangrove woodland, a Unesco Global Heritage Website online that stretches throughout maximum of coastal Bangladesh and a portion of India, is especially susceptible. Any disruption to the stability of sediment may just boost up coastal erosion and make the already low mendacity house extra at risk of sea-level upward push.

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Floating fields in Bangladesh

The Brahmaputra ultimately flows right into a area of fertile fields and mangrove forests.
Sk Hasan Ali / shutterstock

Sadly, regardless of the transboundary nature of the Brahmaputra, there is not any complete treaty governing it. This loss of formal agreements complicates efforts to make sure China, India and Bangladesh proportion the water equitably and paintings in combination to arrange for screw ups.

Those kinds of agreements are completely conceivable: 14 international locations plus the Ecu Union are events to a practice on protective the Danube, as an example. However the Brahmaputra isn’t on my own. Many transboundary rivers within the international south face equivalent overlook and insufficient analysis.

Researching rivers

In our fresh find out about, colleagues and I analysed 4,713 case research throughout 286 transboundary river basins. We would have liked to evaluate how a lot educational analysis there used to be on every, what topics it eager about, and the way that numerous relying on the kind of river. We discovered that, whilst huge rivers within the international north obtain substantial educational consideration, many similarly vital rivers within the international south stay overpassed.

What analysis there’s within the international south is predominantly led through establishments from the worldwide north. This dynamic influences analysis topics and places, frequently sidelining essentially the most urgent native problems. We discovered that analysis within the international north has a tendency to concentrate on technical facets of river control and governance, while research within the international south essentially read about conflicts and useful resource festival.

In Asia, analysis is focused on huge, geopolitically important basins just like the Mekong and Indus. Smaller rivers the place water crises are maximum acute are frequently not noted. One thing equivalent is occurring in Africa, the place research focal point on local weather trade and water-sharing disputes, but a loss of infrastructure limits broader analysis efforts.

Small and medium-sized river basins, crucial to hundreds of thousands of other people within the international south, are some of the maximum not noted in analysis. This oversight has critical real-world penalties. We nonetheless don’t know sufficient about water shortage, air pollution, and local weather trade affects in those areas, which makes it tougher to expand efficient governance and threatens the livelihoods of everybody who depends upon those rivers.

A extra inclusive solution to analysis will make sure the sustainable control of transboundary rivers, safeguarding those essential assets for long run generations.

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